Wednesday, October 27, 2010

Looking for leaks.

Obviously the trend with this blog is optimism so I'll try and get this out of the way as quickly as I can...

I somehow found myself playing on 4 tables of $100/200 PLO about a week ago and proceeded to have like a $50k day or something like that and then naturally shot it off. I've been practicing horrible BR management and basically just tried to go on a month to two month long heater. Obviously that isn't a recipe for long term success and I'm ready to to retire my 'run it up' strategy for the time being and start being a little more responsible. My track record obviously indicates a high likelihood of failing and reverting back into run it up mode but I've come across a couple scenarios that indicates that this time might be a little different.

Anyway. My new grand idea was to start practicing BR management again and that I was going to win $10k playing $1/2 before I would move up. I've tried that numerous times and always start off well and move up after I win like a quarter of what I intended to and before I know it I'm playing $100/200.

I started off hot and won 15 buy-ins in 3000 hands and then went on about a 10 buy-in downswing and the urges to move up started creeping into my mind. There were two separate occasions where I started looking at the $2/4 tables and actually resisted them. I haven't been able to do that for the past few months so I think thats a good indicator that I might actually stick with my plan this time.

I've stuck to it for 17.5 hours and if my assessment is right I'll have to play another 100-200 more hours before I'll be able to move up.

I've logged 5000 hands so far and I guess I'll take a look at my database and see if any of my stats look out of place. I've been opening my game up more and I'm playing almost 40% of my hands which is awfully dangerous of your on tilt so I'll need to be conscious of tightening up for a few orbits if shit starts hitting the fan. I've been folding to 3bets 28% of the time and it feels like I've been folding like 10%. There were countless times where I called with some sort of suited ace and 'feeling' like it was wrong and doing it anyway.

It feels like I'm misplaying Kings by 3b/getting them in too often. It's only been 123 hands but I'm losing money with them overall. I'm 3betting 68% of the time and a large chunk of those times I've been hesitant to do it but did because I want to raise my 3b %. Obviously the solution is pick different spots to 3b.

During a 10 buy-in downswing that I went on I tilted and fired up 6 tables instead of my usual 4 or 5 and it significantly contributed to my downswing. The majority of the tables were uncapped so I had to focus on how many BB's I had causing me to rush even more than I already was.

The higher stakes CAP PLO tables don't run as often as I'd like so I'll have to help start the games so I'll need to work on my HU game. I've only played 127 hands so far and basically felt uncomfortable in almost all of them. I'm certain that I'm losing well under 50% of the hands despite having a VPIP of 74% which has to be horrible considering how often I'm giving up post flop.

Anyway a brief recap of some adjustments to make...

1. Stop getting Kings AIPF and pick better spots to balance my 3b range.
2. I'm calling too many 3bets with suited aces.
3. No more than 5 tables and preferably 4.
4. Defend less when playing HU and try and pick spots to steal more pots.

No comments:

Post a Comment